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Mike Celizic

NBCSports.com contributor Mike Celizic provides his unique slant as he takes an offbeat look into the world of sports beyond the box scores.



Breaking down U.S.'s 4x100 win, by the numbers

Posted: Monday, August 11, 2008 4:34 AM

To the naked eye, the finish of the greatest relay ever swum looked like a dead heat. To the electronic touch pads on the pool wall, it was an easy call: Jason Lezak touched first for the United States in the 4x100 freestyle.

 

The margin in time was .08 of a second. To me, it begged the question: How much was that in inches?

 

I figured it would be a fraction of an inch and that the French anchor, Alain Bernard, would be kicking himself forever for trimming his fingernails before the race.

 

I dusted off what’s left of my high-school math skills to satisfy my curiosity. I figured each swimmer’s average speed for the race in meters per second, multiplied by .08 seconds, did the metric conversion and was surprised to find that Lezak had won by a huge margin — a whole seven inches. That’s an inch longer than a dollar bill.

 

The actual margin might have been a tad less given that both swimmers were slowing down at the end of the race, but it remains about a half-foot.

 

The significance of the American win in the 4x100 was that it kept alive Michael Phelps’ quest for eight gold medals — one more than Mark Spitz won in 1972, when the competition wasn’t nearly as fierce as it is these days. But what made it an instant legend was Lezak’s anchor leg, which he swam in 46.06 seconds — the fastest 100 meters ever swum.

 

The numbers say the United States was a bit more than 4 feet behind the French when Cullen Jones, who swam the third leg, touched the wall and Lezak catapulted himself into his appointment with history.

 

It turns out that Lezak won the race right there — on the block.

 

Thanks to electronic timing, race stats now tell us the time gap between when one swimmer touches the wall and the next swimmer leaves the starting block for his leg of the race. Lezak had the quickest reaction time of any of the eight swimmers on the two relays, needing just .04 seconds to leave the block after Jones touched. That’s all but simultaneous.

 

Bernard was fast off the blocks, too, but not fast enough. His reaction time was .19 seconds. That means he gave Lezak .15 seconds before either even hit the water — that’s nearly twice the final victory margin of .08 seconds.

 

What made Lezak’s swim so incredible is that even with that near-perfect start, he was still slower than Bernard on the first 50-meter lap. The Frenchman did that first 50 in 21.27 seconds; the American did it in 21.5.

 

The 4-foot deficit had grown by a few inches when they turned for home, and Lezak made it all up plus that extra 6 or 7 inches. He did it by slowing down less than Bernard did.

 

The first 50 meters of a 100-meter swim are always faster than the second 50 for two reasons. The first is that the swimmers start the race in the air, which has far less resistance than water. The second is that they’re exhausted by the final 25 meters and are just trying to hang on.

 

Lezak swam the second 50 in 24.56 seconds, while Bernard slowed to 25.46. That’s what finished him off.

 

My final question was: “So, how fast were these guys going?”

 

The short answer: Faster than anyone has ever swum before.

 

The longer answer is that for the first 50 meters, Bernard averaged 5.26 mph — the fastest speed ever in a pool — and Lezak did 5.20 mph. In the second half, Lezak averaged 4.55 mph and Bernard slowed to 4.39. For the 100 meters, Lezak’s average speed was 4.85 mph.

 

Just for fun, I looked up how fast Mark Spitz swam when he won the 100 meters in the 1972 Munich games. His speed was a record at the time. It was 4.37 mph., .48 mph slower than Lezak.

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Comments

Good analysis Mike. By the way, if you don't remember my name below, Diane Celizic is my first cousin because her mother and my mother were sisters. I know that you are also first cousins to Diane and Georgie because your father and Diane's father are bothers. Nice to see you in print on the web.
Loved your breakdown of the race! As a teacher and one who loves statistics, I appreciate how you brought the win into mathematical focus! I too, wondered how close, in inches, Lezak touched the wall. I wish those calling the race had been this informative, rather than insisting that the French 'had to win' because 'the numbers simply said they must'. Rowdy Gaines, in my most non-expert opinion, made a total ass of himself by his insistence that the French could not lose and by saying virtually nothing positive about the Americans until the final 25 meters or so of the race. I say, "Pie in your face, Rowdy and you owe the American public an apology for your "wrong" numbers! But, to you, Mr. Celizic, your numbers stack up nicely. Thank you again for showing us with math just how the race was won.
Congratulations!!! It was well worth the wait to stay up and watch the relay!! History in the making! Go get the gold, United States!!!
Amazing race.
If you missed it last night, go back and watch.
Also, please remember the boastful comments made by the French men before the race about how they were going to 'smash the Americans.'
Lezak's "second effort" (second lap) was nothing short of miraculous.  The nobility of man was personified right THERE...

When he and Bernard hit the turn, there was NO WAY Lezak could make up the deficit.  But he did...

I'm AWED by his performance.
As a swim coach, I look at the other athletes my swimmers will compete against by looking at former results and all the data that I have so I know what to expect at any given meet. Rowdy was right - the French, by the numbers - should have won. No matter who they put in and in what order, their times and previous performances said it was a gimme for them. With that being said, Jason Lezak has a history of folding under pressure and he's relatively old. The only explanation is that something went off in his brain and he just swam fast. It's the beauty of the Olympics - anything can happen!!

I LOVE the fact that Rowdy Gaines was in as much shock and awe as the rest of us. It was probably a huge reason why I was standing and jumping and yelling at my TV as much. If Rowdy wasn't expecting it, why should I have been expecting it?!?!


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